General Elections: 2019
GE 2019 summary
dynast | Vote_Share | Margin_ | N_cand | enop | Turnout | Incumbent | Recontest | Contests |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0 | 35.53 | 19.19 | 15.53 | 2.53 | 69.05 | 0.22 | 0.37 | 2.13 |
1 | 41.12 | 22.00 | 16.85 | 2.48 | 66.42 | 0.31 | 0.48 | 2.46 |
No_terms | Turncoat | Assets | criminal_cases | criminal_cases_no | age | bjp |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0.98 | 0.03 | 116085202 | 0.31 | 2.04 | 55.09 | 0.31 |
1.44 | 0.05 | 342617723 | 0.30 | 1.50 | 51.82 | 0.25 |
Regressions
Dependent variable: | |||
vote.share.pc | turnout | winner | |
OLS | OLS | probit | |
(1) | (2) | (3) | |
bjp | 13.222*** | -1.049 | 1.308*** |
(0.848) | (0.677) | (0.092) | |
incumbent | 3.844*** | -0.626 | -0.138 |
(1.076) | (0.847) | (0.118) | |
turncoat | -4.214** | -0.835 | -1.027*** |
(1.986) | (1.569) | (0.263) | |
casteUC+IC | 1.790** | 0.265 | 0.072 |
(0.774) | (0.684) | (0.087) | |
sexM | 0.577 | -1.045 | -0.099 |
(1.120) | (0.882) | (0.123) | |
terms | 3.428*** | 0.219 | 0.594*** |
(0.339) | (0.267) | (0.047) | |
dynast | 3.636*** | -1.698** | -0.154 |
(1.043) | (0.821) | (0.118) | |
assets | 0.000** | 0.000 | 0.000** |
(0.000) | (0.000) | (0.000) | |
serious.case | -1.160 | 0.121 | -0.238** |
(0.933) | (0.737) | (0.109) | |
educationHigher | -0.604 | 0.687 | -0.071 |
(0.863) | (0.679) | (0.098) | |
age | -0.027 | -0.049* | -0.022*** |
(0.035) | (0.027) | (0.004) | |
enop | -0.054 | ||
(0.695) | |||
reservationSC/ST | 2.740*** | ||
(0.765) | |||
dynast:serious.case | 0.514 | -4.302*** | 0.408** |
(1.777) | (1.398) | (0.200) | |
Constant | 28.504*** | 71.732*** | 0.047 |
(2.194) | (2.529) | (0.244) | |
Observations | 1,348 | 1,348 | 1,348 |
R2 | 0.363 | 0.041 | |
Adjusted R2 | 0.357 | 0.031 | |
Log Likelihood | -590.816 | ||
Akaike Inf. Crit. | 1,207.633 | ||
Residual Std. Error | 13.377 (df = 1335) | 10.523 (df = 1333) | |
F Statistic | 63.418*** (df = 12; 1335) | 4.121*** (df = 14; 1333) | |
Note: | p<0.1; p<0.05; p<0.01 |