Political families of Uttar Pradesh

General Elections: 2019

GE 2019 summary

dynast Vote_Share Margin_ N_cand enop Turnout Incumbent Recontest Contests
0 35.53 19.19 15.53 2.53 69.05 0.22 0.37 2.13
1 41.12 22.00 16.85 2.48 66.42 0.31 0.48 2.46
No_terms Turncoat Assets criminal_cases criminal_cases_no age bjp
0.98 0.03 116085202 0.31 2.04 55.09 0.31
1.44 0.05 342617723 0.30 1.50 51.82 0.25

Regressions

Dependent variable:
vote.share.pc turnout winner
OLS OLS probit
(1) (2) (3)
bjp 13.222*** -1.049 1.308***
(0.848) (0.677) (0.092)
incumbent 3.844*** -0.626 -0.138
(1.076) (0.847) (0.118)
turncoat -4.214** -0.835 -1.027***
(1.986) (1.569) (0.263)
casteUC+IC 1.790** 0.265 0.072
(0.774) (0.684) (0.087)
sexM 0.577 -1.045 -0.099
(1.120) (0.882) (0.123)
terms 3.428*** 0.219 0.594***
(0.339) (0.267) (0.047)
dynast 3.636*** -1.698** -0.154
(1.043) (0.821) (0.118)
assets 0.000** 0.000 0.000**
(0.000) (0.000) (0.000)
serious.case -1.160 0.121 -0.238**
(0.933) (0.737) (0.109)
educationHigher -0.604 0.687 -0.071
(0.863) (0.679) (0.098)
age -0.027 -0.049* -0.022***
(0.035) (0.027) (0.004)
enop -0.054
(0.695)
reservationSC/ST 2.740***
(0.765)
dynast:serious.case 0.514 -4.302*** 0.408**
(1.777) (1.398) (0.200)
Constant 28.504*** 71.732*** 0.047
(2.194) (2.529) (0.244)
Observations 1,348 1,348 1,348
R2 0.363 0.041
Adjusted R2 0.357 0.031
Log Likelihood -590.816
Akaike Inf. Crit. 1,207.633
Residual Std. Error 13.377 (df = 1335) 10.523 (df = 1333)
F Statistic 63.418*** (df = 12; 1335) 4.121*** (df = 14; 1333)
Note: p<0.1; p<0.05; p<0.01