Political families of Uttar Pradesh

Models

AE All

Regression Results - AE All
Dependent variable:
Dynast Upward Linkage Downward Linkage
(1) (2) (3)
caste_uc 0.251 -0.012 0.693***
(0.163) (0.110) (0.265)
caste_yadav 0.413** 0.047 0.565*
(0.193) (0.153) (0.300)
caste_non_yadav_obc 0.230 0.147 0.523*
(0.176) (0.125) (0.280)
caste_dalit 0.171 0.082 0.648**
(0.173) (0.118) (0.272)
caste_muslim 0.575*** 0.288** 0.456
(0.172) (0.122) (0.290)
minister_duration 0.117*** 0.103*** -0.011
(0.017) (0.017) (0.022)
industry 0.361*** 0.385*** 0.128**
(0.045) (0.040) (0.057)
school_college 0.318*** 0.114 0.367***
(0.080) (0.075) (0.099)
land 0.0005*** 0.0003* 0.0002
(0.0001) (0.0001) (0.0002)
linkage_down 0.519***
(0.130)
dynast 0.434***
(0.117)
post_90 0.720*** -0.065 0.897***
(0.112) (0.070) (0.181)
n_elections_w -0.062** 0.019 0.074**
(0.028) (0.025) (0.031)
Constant -3.043*** -2.035*** -3.666***
(0.174) (0.097) (0.303)
Observations 4,298 4,298 4,298
Log Likelihood -793.905 -1,051.918 -482.131
Akaike Inf. Crit. 1,613.810 2,127.836 990.262
Note: p<0.1; p<0.05; p<0.01

AE GE all

Regression Results - AE-GE All
Dependent variable:
Dynast Linkage
(1) (2)
caste_uc 0.216 0.738***
(0.154) (0.257)
caste_yadav 0.354* 0.660**
(0.186) (0.290)
caste_non_yadav_obc 0.189 0.604**
(0.166) (0.269)
caste_dalit 0.142 0.662**
(0.164) (0.264)
caste_muslim 0.541*** 0.566**
(0.164) (0.278)
minister_duration 0.104*** 0.0004
(0.017) (0.021)
industry 0.344*** 0.116**
(0.043) (0.054)
school_college 0.315*** 0.365***
(0.076) (0.094)
land 0.0005*** 0.0001
(0.0001) (0.0002)
linkage_down 0.471***
(0.128)
dynast 0.402***
(0.114)
post_90 0.832*** 0.878***
(0.121) (0.174)
n_elections_w 0.002 0.058**
(0.024) (0.028)
Constant -3.199*** -3.676***
(0.175) (0.292)
Observations 4,902 4,902
Log Likelihood -850.896 -529.848
Akaike Inf. Crit. 1,727.792 1,085.695
Note: p<0.1; p<0.05; p<0.01

AE 2012 -17

Regression Results - AE 2012:17
Dependent variable:
Dynast Winner Vote Share Percentage
probit probit OLS
(1) (2) (3)
caste_uc 0.194 0.233 0.030
(0.306) (0.196) (1.270)
caste_yadav 0.463 -0.117 -2.519
(0.339) (0.238) (1.546)
caste_non_yadav_obc 0.261 0.143 -0.008
(0.313) (0.202) (1.316)
caste_dalit 0.243 0.028 -0.139
(0.316) (0.200) (1.304)
caste_muslim 0.551* -0.403* -3.285**
(0.319) (0.214) (1.378)
minister_duration 0.098*** -0.069*** -0.407***
(0.021) (0.021) (0.131)
industry 0.364*** 0.068 0.901**
(0.066) (0.057) (0.370)
school_college 0.278*** -0.189** -1.780***
(0.105) (0.089) (0.576)
land 0.0003 0.00004 0.001
(0.0002) (0.0002) (0.001)
linkage_down 0.458*** -0.120 -1.827*
(0.152) (0.144) (0.939)
n_elections_w 0.040 0.326*** 1.889***
(0.035) (0.034) (0.200)
log(total_assets) 0.068 0.018 0.588***
(0.041) (0.032) (0.208)
serious_crime -0.518*** -0.111 -0.903
(0.136) (0.096) (0.628)
turncoat 0.103 0.112 1.643**
(0.143) (0.116) (0.758)
dynast -0.080 0.264
(0.114) (0.740)
Constant -3.334*** -0.852 21.511***
(0.755) (0.551) (3.615)
Observations 1,173 1,173 1,173
R2 0.124
Adjusted R2 0.113
Log Likelihood -430.632 -733.476
Akaike Inf. Crit. 891.264 1,498.953
Residual Std. Error 8.551 (df = 1157)
F Statistic 10.929*** (df = 15; 1157)
Note: p<0.1; p<0.05; p<0.01

GE 2009:19

Regression Results - GE 2009:19
Dependent variable:
Dynast Winner Vote Share Percentage
probit probit OLS
(1) (2) (3)
caste_uc -0.279 0.312 -0.547
(0.403) (0.288) (2.472)
caste_yadav -0.484 -0.830* -5.981
(0.564) (0.501) (3.673)
caste_non_yadav_obc -0.826* 0.080 1.774
(0.437) (0.300) (2.568)
caste_dalit -0.296 0.212 1.594
(0.426) (0.306) (2.626)
caste_muslim -0.318 -0.536 -6.492**
(0.451) (0.350) (2.862)
minister_duration 0.129*** -0.040 0.266
(0.037) (0.036) (0.271)
industry 0.425*** -0.123 -0.682
(0.123) (0.101) (0.845)
school_college 0.180 -0.045 -2.556*
(0.204) (0.171) (1.435)
land 0.001 0.0002 0.001
(0.0003) (0.0003) (0.002)
linkage_down 1.066*** -0.148 6.015**
(0.320) (0.310) (2.518)
n_elections_w 0.264*** -0.012 0.485
(0.085) (0.075) (0.632)
log(total_assets) 0.140** -0.015 1.476***
(0.064) (0.049) (0.408)
serious_crime 0.061 -0.044 1.224
(0.194) (0.156) (1.313)
turncoat 0.053 0.484** 0.122
(0.287) (0.244) (2.055)
dynast 0.274 3.702**
(0.210) (1.744)
Constant -4.190*** 0.098 12.075
(1.192) (0.886) (7.424)
Observations 320 320 320
R2 0.132
Adjusted R2 0.090
Log Likelihood -121.066 -204.589
Akaike Inf. Crit. 272.131 441.178
Residual Std. Error 10.900 (df = 304)
F Statistic 3.094*** (df = 15; 304)
Note: p<0.1; p<0.05; p<0.01

AE-GE (2009:19)

Regression Results - AE & GE 2009:19
Dependent variable:
Dynast Winner Linkage Vote Share Percentage
probit probit probit OLS
(1) (2) (3) (4)
caste_uc 0.133 0.115 0.268 -1.273
(0.265) (0.158) (0.225) (1.186)
caste_yadav 0.304 -0.221 0.141 -4.084***
(0.301) (0.201) (0.269) (1.504)
caste_non_yadav_obc 0.182 0.016 0.255 -0.452
(0.271) (0.164) (0.232) (1.233)
caste_dalit 0.166 -0.024 0.262 -0.691
(0.274) (0.163) (0.234) (1.227)
caste_muslim 0.482* -0.579*** 0.218 -5.518***
(0.278) (0.178) (0.243) (1.307)
minister_duration 0.053*** 0.015 0.045** 0.056
(0.020) (0.018) (0.019) (0.132)
industry 0.320*** 0.098** 0.208*** 0.977***
(0.062) (0.050) (0.057) (0.370)
school_college 0.207** -0.037 0.172* -1.376**
(0.099) (0.079) (0.091) (0.586)
land 0.0004** 0.0001 0.0001 0.001
(0.0002) (0.0001) (0.0002) (0.001)
linkage_down 0.366** 0.031 -0.226
(0.149) (0.132) (0.985)
n_elections_w 0.211*** -0.009 0.219*** 0.330
(0.031) (0.028) (0.030) (0.211)
log(total_assets) 0.095*** 0.019 0.142*** 1.113***
(0.037) (0.026) (0.033) (0.194)
serious_crime 0.019 0.001 0.035* 0.129
(0.040) (0.017) (0.019) (0.128)
non_serious_crime -0.050*
(0.028)
turncoat 0.172 0.230** 0.087 1.377*
(0.130) (0.103) (0.120) (0.768)
dynast 0.014 1.429*
(0.105) (0.782)
Constant -3.852*** -0.536 -4.255*** 15.762***
(0.679) (0.461) (0.604) (3.437)
Observations 1,400 1,400 1,400 1,400
R2 0.076
Adjusted R2 0.066
Log Likelihood -473.132 -940.198 -590.318
Akaike Inf. Crit. 978.265 1,912.397 1,208.637
Residual Std. Error 9.458 (df = 1384)
F Statistic 7.553*** (df = 15; 1384)
Note: p<0.1; p<0.05; p<0.01