Political families of Uttar Pradesh

UP Dynasties extended

Document History

Original Publish Date: 08 September, 2020

Updated on: 11 September, 2020

We will be using the dynasties data for last few elections from UP in this post.

GE

Basic summary of the data

Type of election - General elections

State - Uttar Pradesh

Year - 2009:20019

at 5% percentage vote share

  • Number of observations - 787

  • Average vote share percentage - 29%

  • Distribution of the positions -

## 
##    1    2    3    4    5 
## 0.31 0.31 0.24 0.13 0.02
  • Proportion of dynasts in the data - 0.34

Dynasts

Proportion of positions won by dynast candidates

position Dynast
1 0.42
2 0.31
3 0.36
4 0.18
5 0.19
position 2009 2014 2019
1 0.48 0.37 0.40
2 0.27 0.36 0.29
3 0.30 0.33 0.59
4 0.11 0.26 1.00
5 0.00 1.00 0.00

Composition of positions within dynasts and non-dyansts

dynast 1 2 3 4 5
Dynast 0.38 0.28 0.26 0.07 0.01
Non-Dynast 0.27 0.32 0.23 0.16 0.02
year 1 2 3 4 5
2009 0.42 0.24 0.26 0.08 0.00
2014 0.30 0.29 0.27 0.10 0.03
2019 0.43 0.31 0.25 0.01 0.00

Vote Share

dynast mean_vote_share
Dynast 31
Non-Dynast 27
dynast 2009 2014 2019
Dynast 29 28 38
Non-Dynast 21 26 40

Turncoats proportion wrt Politicians identity

dynast mean_turncoat
Dynast 0.13
Non-Dynast 0.10
dynast 2009 2014 2019
Dynast 0.14 0.09 0.17
Non-Dynast 0.11 0.10 0.08

Party retention wrt Politicians identity

dynast mean_same_party
Dynast 0.75
Non-Dynast 0.74
dynast 2009 2014 2019
Dynast 0.73 0.80 0.72
Non-Dynast 0.65 0.73 0.85

Proportion of incumbents wrt Politicians identity

dynast mean_incumbent
Dynast 0.34
Non-Dynast 0.16
dynast 2009 2014 2019
Dynast 0.34 0.34 0.33
Non-Dynast 0.14 0.12 0.27

Proportion of re-contestants wrt Politicians identity

dynast mean_recontest
Dynast 0.48
Non-Dynast 0.34

Number of terms wrt Politicians identity

dynast mean_no_terms
Dynast 1.49
Non-Dynast 0.79
dynast 2009 2014 2019
Dynast 1.57 1.33 1.60
Non-Dynast 0.67 0.74 1.08

Constituency type wrt Politicians identity

dynast GEN SC
Dynast 0.86 0.14
Non-Dynast 0.77 0.23
year dynast GEN SC
2009 Dynast 0.86 0.14
2009 Non-Dynast 0.77 0.23
2014 Dynast 0.88 0.12
2014 Non-Dynast 0.76 0.24
2019 Dynast 0.83 0.17
2019 Non-Dynast 0.80 0.20

AE

Basic summary of the data

Type of election - Assembly elections

State - Uttar Pradesh

at 5% percentage vote share

  • Number of observations - 2960

    • Average vote share percentage - 25.22

    • Distribution of the positions -

## 
##    1    2    3    4    5    6    7 
## 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.14 0.04 0.01 0.00
  • Proportion of dynasts - 0.16

Dynasts

Proportion of positions won by dynast candidates

position Dynast
1 0.21
2 0.20
3 0.13
4 0.08
5 0.08
6 0.06
position 2012 2017
1 0.24 0.19
2 0.19 0.22
3 0.15 0.12
4 0.08 0.07
5 0.08 0.11
6 0.06 0.00

Composition of positions within dynasts and non-dyansts

dynast 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Dynast 0.36 0.34 0.21 0.07 0.02 0.00 NA
Non-Dynast 0.26 0.26 0.28 0.15 0.05 0.01 0
year 1 2 3 4 5 6
2012 0.36 0.28 0.22 0.10 0.03 0
2017 0.35 0.41 0.21 0.03 0.00 0

Vote Share

dynast mean_vote_share
Dynast 29
Non-Dynast 24
dynast 2012 2017
Dynast 27 32
Non-Dynast 21 29

Turncoats proportion wrt Politicians identity

dynast mean_turncoat
Dynast 0.14
Non-Dynast 0.12
dynast 2012 2017
Dynast 0.14 0.15
Non-Dynast 0.11 0.13

Party retention wrt Politicians identity

dynast mean_same_party
Dynast 0.67
Non-Dynast 0.66
dynast 2012 2017
Dynast 0.66 0.68
Non-Dynast 0.65 0.68

Proportion of incumbents wrt Politicians identity

dynast mean_incumbent
Dynast 0.21
Non-Dynast 0.14
dynast 2012 2017
Dynast 0.19 0.24
Non-Dynast 0.12 0.16

Proportion of re-contestants wrt Politicians identity

dynast mean_recontest
Dynast 0.42
Non-Dynast 0.32

Number of terms wrt Politicians identity

dynast mean_no_terms
Dynast 1.05
Non-Dynast 0.72
dynast 2012 2017
Dynast 1.10 0.99
Non-Dynast 0.66 0.81

Constituency type wrt Politicians identity

dynast GEN SC
Dynast 0.86 0.14
Non-Dynast 0.78 0.22
year dynast GEN SC
2012 Dynast 0.88 0.12
2012 Non-Dynast 0.78 0.22
2017 Dynast 0.84 0.16
2017 Non-Dynast 0.79 0.21